The federal treasury is getting a surge of tax revenue, which could mean a smaller budget deficit than originally predicted. Let the argument begin. NY Times gives you the back-and-forth:

Republicans are already arguing that the revenue jump proves that their tax cuts, especially the 2003 tax cut on stock dividends, would spur the economy and ultimately increase revenues.

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“The tax relief we delivered has helped unleash the entrepreneurial spirit of America and kept our economy the envy of the world,” President Bush said in his weekly radio address on Saturday.

Democrats and many independent budget analysts note that overall revenues have barely climbed back to the levels reached in 2000, and that the government has borrowed trillions of dollars against Social Security surpluses just as the first of the nation’s baby boomers are nearing retirement. “The fact is that revenues are way below what the administration said they would be a few years ago,” said Thomas S. Kahn, staff director for Democrats on the House Budget Committee. “The long-term prognosis is still very, very bleak, and the administration doesn’t have any kind of long-term plan.”

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One reason the run-up in taxes looks good is because the past five years looked so bad. Revenues are up, but they have lagged well behind economic growth.

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