Before a flurry of activities begin later in the day, we’re having a little down time to catch up on sleep, recaffeinate, and generally gird ourselves for the intensity of the next 36 hours.
The candidates are all over the state today before reconverging on Des Moines for events this evening. Of course, while a lot of attention has been paid to the last round of polls (especially the well-respected Des Moines Register poll that’s been critiqued heavily by the trailing Edwards and Clinton campaigns), tomorrow night is really about how many turn out and which demographic groups turn out. For comparison, in 2004, while it’s a little unclear exactly how many Democrats participated, it probably was just under 120,000. We have to go back to 2000 to get a decent comparative number on the GOP side; that year, about 90,000 votes were cast.
Go to the jump for an analysis of how varying turnouts could affect the leading candidates.