Lots of new polling today on the critical Republican primaries in Ohio and Florida.

The NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll has John Kasich ahead of Donald Trump 39-33 in Kasich’s home state of Ohio. But CBS polling has them tied at 33 each. NBC and CBS have Trump well ahead  in Florida, with CBS putting Florida Sen. Marco Rubio in third. NBC has it 43 Trump, 22 Rubio and 21 Ted Cruz.

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Should these hold, it’s curtains for Rubio, the second establishment choice after Jeb Bush to be drowned by the insurgent tide (and his own lapses in judgment).

Kasich as the choice of a split convention?

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