A friend reviewing the precinct results of Democrat Clarke Tucker’s unsuccessful race for Congress against Republican Rep. French Hill passed along those figures and I think they are worth a look
You’ll see marked differences in neighborhood voting patterns. Tucker carried traditionally liberal precincts (including a 58 percent victory margin in Hill’s home voting precinct at the Heights Fire Station) and also smashed Hill in black voting precincts (despite pre-election polling that questioned Tucker’s voting strength both in Pulaski County generally and in black neighborhoods.)
In the first election for mayor, state Rep. Warwick Sabin carried traditionally liberal precincts; Kurrus ran strong in the western precincts where French Hill enjoyed
In short, it seems: Winning minority neighborhoods alone isn’t enough. Winning the west alone is certainly not enough. A coalition will be necessary and Sabin votes will be critical.
The race is nonpartisan, but some Republican associations clearly have attached to Kurrus. Scott, on the other hand, is having yet another fund-raiser this week hosted by Lisenne Rockefeller, widow of the Republican lieutenant governor (who once employed Kurrus). Kurrus had noticeable support, too, from some liberal areas where voters remembered his duty as Little Rock school superintendent.
Regardless, just for fun, the Tucker rundown in Pulaski County: He won Little Rock precincts against Hill by 25,184 votes, 67.6 percent to 32.4 percent of the two candidates’ combined vote (omitting the small vote for a Libertarian candidate). He carried the precincts outside Little Rock in Pulaski County by 2,260 votes, 51.9 percent to 48.1 cent. He lost the six counties outside Pulaski County by a big enough margin, more than 43,00 votes, to lose the election by more than 16,000 votes.
He should have run for mayor.
For some fodder to consider on Little Rock vote splits in the mayor’s race, here’s how the Little Rock precincts voted for 2nd District Congress (I’m not sure if some precincts might not include some voters outside the city limits):
Precinct# Location Tucker Hill
58 Winfield UMC 732 914
60 Highland Valley UMC 751 1210
61 Pilgrim Rest BC – Col. Glenn 385 748
63 Martindale BC – Col. Glenn 275 436
64 Chenal Valley BC 734 1137
65 St. Michael’s Episcopal 422 287
66 12900 Cantrell 637 545
67 Temple B’Nai Israel 816 446
68 Chenal Valley CofC 681 957
69 1st Baptist – PV 593 788
70 PV Church of Christ 436 485
71 PA 858 934
72 PV Church of Christ 440 226
73 Parkway Place BC 662 588
74 Agape Church 506 324
75 Immanuel BC 726 298
76 Parkway Place BC 592 368
77 Immanuel BC 987 804
78 10001 Kanis 788 539
79 13000 Baseline 823 297
80 13000 Baseline 1,296 299
81 Mabelvale 771 406
82 7601 Baseline 762 183
83 9400 Col. Glenn 1,211 166
84 9400 Col. Glenn 1,129 98
85 10001 Kanis 966 150
86 St. Mark BC 516 92
87 9820 W. Markham 643 315
88 St. James UMC 729 583
89 Unitarian Church 596 309
90 2nd Presbyterian 767 518
91 Cammack City Hall 731 438
92 St. Paul UMC 646 329
93 1st Nazarene Church 681 344
94 1st Nazarene Church 586 290
95 Grace Presbyterian 848 477
96 St. Mark’s Episcopal 439 230
97 Faith Lutheran 589 195
98 1709 Barrow 782 74
99 6401 W. 32nd 575 144
100 6401 W. 32nd 327 51
101 4601 Western Hills 540 146
102 5430 Mabelvale Pike 628 126
103 6219 Baseline 737 89
104 10610 Chicot 1097 149
105 9300 Geyer Springs 714 157
106 Heights Fire Station #10 620 444
107 Heights Fire Station #10 616 436
108 Woodlawn Baptist 588 409
109 Pulaski Heights Presbyterian 1559 408
110 Woodlawn Baptist 402 221
111 Pulaski Heights UMC 1163 378
112 Pulaski Heights Presbyterian 524 119
114 Arkansas Arts Center 839 222
115 St. Mark Baptist 801 76
116 1200 Lewis 558 20
117 Bullock Temple 748 48
118 Dunbar Rec Center 874 98
119 1720 W. 23rd 796 53
120 4800 W. 26th 698 59
121 5500 Geyer Springs 628 111
122 2901 Roosevelt 563 26
123 7701 Scott Hamilton 458 72
124 7701 Scott Hamilton 679 128
125 3623 Baseline 555 221
128 15923 Arch Street 1023 70
129 2701 Main Street 287 120
130 Fire Station #4 – LR Port 343 3
131 Mills High School 408 63
134 2500 E. 6th 357 38
135 3801 Springer Rd. 264 11
137 15524 Chenal Parkway 643 738
